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Details in calculating pathway
- Model: AIM/Impact[Policy]
with simplified climate model, economic activity and energy consumption model.
Calculating the path maximizing NPV.
Publication: Hijioka, Y. et al. (2005): Development of a support tool for
greenhouse gas emissions control policy to help mitigate the impact of
global warming. Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 7(3),
331-346.
- Target gasses: CO2, CH4, N2O, SO2, 26CFCs, Ozone (stratospheric, tropospheric), water vapor, fossil fuel fume, biomass burning, solar radiation.
Indicated as 6GHG emission in the table & graph in SEBS
- Climate sensitivity: 2.6°C (median in IPCC-TAR(2001))
- Discount rate in calculating NPV: 4% annual
- Start year of calculation: 2010
the goal of Kyoto protocol for Annex B countries,
its original goal for USA,
BaU for non Annex B countries and Australia.
- End year of calculation: 2200
- Time step: 10 years
Data sources
- population: UN medium estimate
UN (2002): World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision. United Nations Population Division.
UN (2004): World Population to 2300. United Nations Population Division.
- GDP: World Bank
World Bank (2004): World Development Indicators 2004.
- GHG emission (~2000): EDGAR
http://www.mnp.nl/edgar/
- Future scenario: AIM
http://www-cger.nies.go.jp/scenario/
To do
- Add Future Scenarios other than B2.
- Add supported climate targets: Limit to temperature increase rate
- Add supported BS schemes: CDC, Triptych, To be able to specify which countries participate and when the countries paricipate, ...
- ...
- If you have any comments or suggestions regarding the software,
we would be happy to hear from you.