Re: CSS Internet News Special Report, Y2K and the Domino E

["Jay Hanson" <j@qmail.com>]

----- Original Message -----
From: tom abeles <tabeles@tmn.com>

>> Using the most conservative assumptions, the article computes a 15%
>> chance of collapse. Based on more realistic assumptions, however,
>> which are enumerated in the article, there is an 87% chance of
>> collapse.
>
>Let's talk about the collapse and what it might or might not happen. We
>keep thinking like this is a black hole, an apocalypse or a tsunami.

In fact, the impacts of y2k are "unknowable" until we fix the last bug.  But

I personally don't think it will be too bad.  (Of course, if you are into

conspiracy theories, the Big Boys might use the opportunity to crush

the old social system -- blame it on y2k -- and reveal a new one.)

I expect to see panic buying, runs on banks, shortages, power failures,

and so on for a while, but I think the system will be more or less back to
normal after a few months of adjustment.

I am reserving "end of world" scenarios for the depletion of high-quality
energy resources, which will probably become noticeable about five years
later.

To put life on earth in perspective, here is snip from
ENERGY AND HUMAN EVOLUTION, by David Price, 1995:

"The human species may be seen as having evolved in the service of entropy,
and it cannot be expected to outlast the dense accumulations of energy that
have helped define its niche. Human beings like to believe they are in
control of their destiny, but when the history of life on Earth is seen in
perspective, the evolution of Homo sapiens is merely a transient episode
that acts to redress the planet's energy balance."

 

The entire article is at ; http://dieoff.com/page137.htm

Jay
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